Survival of the Fittest NFL Style: Week 12 Survivor Pick
For entertainment purposes only, I’m updating my 2009 NFL survivor picks here every week. The rules are simple. Pick a team to win each week. If they win, move on to the next week. Of course you can’t pick the same team twice in the same regular season. If you want to read the entire post and each week’s picks and analysis, click here. If you don’t care (and I completely understand if you don’t, since those weeks have passed and we really should just be moving forward, right?), then here’s a quick recap of my strategy.
Rule #1: Focus on the Negative
Rather than focus on what teams are good, focus on what teams are bad (and in some cases, really really bad). And there are plenty of them. St. Louis, Cleveland, Kansas City, Oakland, Tampa Bay, and Detroit. If those teams (dubbed the “Sucky Six”) are not able to lose (if I’ve already picked their opponent), then consider the match-ups. And all bets are literally off when one plays another (St. Louis v. Detroit in Week 8? No. Thank. You.)
Rule #2: Don’t Save a Team
Remember: don’t worry about “saving” a team for later. You can’t advance to the next week unless you survive this week. If there’s a sure thing involving one of the elite teams over one of the Sucky Six (i.e., Indy over the Rams), take it. Don’t get eliminated because you left Indy on the table in hopes of using them later in the season.
I’m also keeping track of the teams I’ve used each week in a separate post.
So without further ado, here’s this week’s Survivor Pick:
Cincinnati (over Cleveland)
- Hello Week 12! Never seen you before.
- This week’s nominees: Cincinnati (vs. Cleveland), Dallas (v. Oakland), San Diego (v. Kansas City), Green Bay (at Detroit), Atlanta (v. Tampa Bay).
- I’ve already used San Diego and Atlanta, so we’re left with Cinci, Dallas and Green Bay.
- I don’t like taking teams on the road in survivor if I can help it, so Green Bay is out (even though the Lions are, well, the Lions).
- We’re down to Dallas and Cincinnati. Dallas is tempting, but it’s a short week, Romo has some back issues, and the Raiders are just feisty enough without Jamarcus Russell that I’m going to steer clear of them.
- I’m going with Cincinnati over Cleveland. After losing on the road at Oakland, the Bengals are back at home and eager to prove they are among the best in the league. Oh, and they’re playing Cleveland.
- And if you do have San Diego and Atlanta still available, do not hesitate to take them. (And fantasy note: I’m starting the SD defense against KC with confidence. Do the same if you can).
Until next week, Happy Thanksgiving and enjoy the games!